Regardless of the Kremlin agreeing to scenario No. 3 (which means creation of DEFT), No.
4 (sending in peace keepers) or any combination of those, scenario No. 5 – one employing
power, must be designed. At the same time work on such a scenario will serve as that
impetus that will make the Kremlin fulfil the agreements. Undoubtedly, it must be a hybrid
scenario as this is the only adequate response to hybrid aggression of Russia.
On the one hand, Ukraine must enhance its military capacities. There is hope that the
Western partners will realize the necessity of helping Ukraine with such a weapon that
would increase machine and man force loss of the occupation troops in case large-scale
military action is resumed in Donbas. Such help is needed to curb the desire of the Kremlin
for new acts of aggression against Ukraine. For this it would be expedient to make a
decision on expansion of conscription and significant involvement of citizens in creation
and training of territorial defense units in Kyiv and all the regions.
On the other hand, it is necessary to make the lives of occupation regimes in ORDLO
as hard as possible. Namely, make Ukrainian TV and radio broadcasting available on all
the occupied territory. At the same time, the content of such programmes must be relevant.
Particular attention should be paid to crime rate on occupied territories, namely reports
of terror both on the part of 'military' and 'civil' representatives of the occupation
regime towards local inhabitants, reports on how they seize businesses, take away houses
etc, on crimes of former militants who murder, rob, steal cars and rape. It is also necessary
to raise other problems that are relevant for locals: unpaid salaries, lack of jobs,
close down of factories, flooding of mines, environmental hazards, unavailability of
medical services, demographic crisis, half-empty schools, poor quality food coming from
Russia etc. All these facts prove that Russia has come to Donbas to destroy it. And the
more locals become aware of this, the easier de-occupation of ORDLO is going to be.
Apart from this, it is necessary to use conflicts between different formations, local
and Russian, that are dividing the turfs in ORDLO. These conflicts will inevitably grow
stronger as Russia's ability to support DPR and LPR financially is decreasing. Ukrainian
special services and information resources must promote exacerbation of this interior
struggle. It will not only make reoccupation easier, but will also decrease the chance
of anti-Ukrainian forces at local elections after de-occupation.